On Cross Validation for Model SelectionNeural Comp., Vol. 11, No. 4. (15 May 1999), pp. 863-870.
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Notes for this articleBy comparison, a statistical test is based on unbiased estimations of the noise variance s2 through the residuals of both models when (14) holds.
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AbstractIn response to Zhu and Rower (1996), a recent communication (Goutte, 1997) established that leave-one-out cross validation is not subject to the "no-free-lunch" criticism. Despite this optimistic conclusion, we show here that cross validation has very poor performances for the selection of linear models as compared to classic statistical tests. We conclude that the statistical tests are preferable to cross validation for linear as well as for nonlinear model selection.
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